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Raymond
L. Orbach
Director
Office of Science
U.S. Department of Energy
I wish to add my congratulations to those of
you newly elected as Fellows of the American
Association for the Advancement of Science.
Your scholarship and dedication to discovery
are acknowledged by the largest and most eclectic
scientific organization in the world. You join
a distinguished group upon whom the AAAS depends
for scientific leadership. I am here to urge
you to provide a visible presence for science
in our nation.
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I am Raymond L. Orbach, Director
of the Office of Science, the U.S. Department
of Energy. The Office of Science appropriation
for FY 2005 was $3.6 billion, supporting research
across the scientific spectrum from high energy
physics to biology and environmental research,
from fusion energy sciences to nuclear physics,
and from basic energy sciences to advanced scientific
computation research. We provide more than 40%
of all the federal funding for the physical
sciences in the United States, and are the stewards
of support for fields such as high energy physics,
catalysis, and nuclear physics. We build and
operate the large scientific facilities, used
by over 19,000 faculty, students, and post-doctoral
fellows each year. They include all the synchrotron
light sources, the high energy and nuclear physics
accelerators, the DOE Joint Genome Institute,
the soon-to-be-completed Spallation Neutron
Source, five nano-technology centers, a protein
production and tagging facility, and an X-ray
free electron laser light source. Roughly half
of our budget goes to the construction and operation
of these facilities; the other half to support
research roughly equally between our ten national
laboratories and universities, in support of
about 23,500 students, postdocs, and faculty
throughout our nation.
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By now you have heard the news:
the President has requested total FY 2006 Federal
R&D funding to increase by ~1%, or $733
million, over FY 2005. The budget request for
non-defense R&D spending would increase
0.75% over this year's budget. As the President’s
Science Advisor, Dr. Jack Marburger, put it,
"The budget is not flat, but pretty close."
The Office of Science request for FY 2006, when
Congressional directed projects are subtracted
from the FY 2005 appropriation, is reduced by
1.6%. There is an 8% increase in NIST's core
research activities, a 2.4% increase for NSF,
a 2.4% increase for NASA, and a 1% increase
for NIH. Congress will have to decide upon budget
priorities within a tight fiscal discipline.
The future years do not look much better as
this nation works to pare the budget deficit
to half its current value. How science will
fare, both within the Administration and in
Congress, depends on us, on you and me, and
our ability to convince this nation of the importance
of science.
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We are not without arguments
to make this case. For me, they rest upon three
pillars: economic growth, scientific literacy,
and intellectual excitement. Each is a critical
element for our society, and you contribute
to all three.
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Economic growth since World War
II has depended upon contributions from science
across the industrial spectrum. Fully 50% of
that growth has arisen from developments easily
attributable to the scientific enterprise. Although
economists are loath to pin the precise number
down, it is widely accepted that, as Nobel Laureate
Robert Solow put it, “[T]echnology remains
the dominant engine of growth, with human capital
investment [that is to say education] in second
place.” From his December 8, 1987 Nobel
Prize lecture: “…Technological progress,
very broadly defined to include improvements
in the human factor, was necessary to allow
long-run growth in real wages and the standard
of living…. Gross output per hour of work
in the U.S. economy doubled between 1909 and
1949; and some seven-eighths of that increase
could be attributed to ‘technological
change in the broadest sense’ and only
the remaining eighth could be attributed to
conventional increase in capital intensity….
The broad conclusion has held up surprisingly
well in the thirty years since then… …[E]ducation
per worker accounts for 30 percent of the increase
in output per worker and the advance of knowledge
accounts for 64 percent….”
Or, in other words, Science is
good for you. Support of science, the basis
of technological growth, is a necessary investment
for fully two-thirds of economic growth, according
to Solow. This message needs to be heard far
and near. We are not asking for a handout. We
are the fuel of economic prosperity for this
country.
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Science provides much of our
intellectual nourishment. The excitement of
discovery, from relativity to quantum mechanics
to genomics to cosmology, pervades not only
our psyche but our very language. Quantum leap,
chaos, uncertainty, relativity, the big bang,
and even E=mc2 have all entered our modern vocabulary
– though they tend to get misused or misunderstood.
In National Science Foundation (NSF) surveys
conducted since 1979, about 90 percent of U.S.
adults report being very or moderately interested
in new scientific discoveries and the use of
new inventions and technologies. However, only
half of NSF survey respondents knew that the
earliest humans did not live at the same time
as dinosaurs, that it takes the Earth one year
to go around the Sun, and that electrons are
smaller than atoms. Only one-third could adequately
explain what it means to study something scientifically.
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Scientific literacy is an essential
task to which we must all contribute. The future
of our society depends upon an understanding
of the scientific method. Otherwise, we shall
be bedeviled by quackery, and our ability to
adapt to our rapidly changing technological
environment will be at risk.
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We must never forget H.G. Wells'
vision in The Time Machine of the world
beyond. In Wells’ words, “I grieved
to think how brief the dream of the human intellect
had been. It had committed suicide. It had set
itself steadfastly towards comfort and ease,
a balanced society with security and permanency
as its watchword, it had attained its hopes....
It is a law of nature we overlook, that intellectual
versatility is the compensation for change,
danger, and trouble…. Nature never appeals
to intelligence until habit and instinct are
useless. There is no intelligence where there
is no change and no need of change. Only those
animals partake of intelligence that have to
meet a huge variety of needs and dangers.”
We are certainly not without
needs and dangers in this modern world. Yet
it would seem that too many are giving in to
the comfort and ease available today. The NSF
survey found that most adults get their information
about science from watching television. The
primary objective of television is, of course,
to entertain. All too often, programming fails
to distinguish between fantasy and reality.
Carl Sagan put it bluntly: “If it were
widely understood that claims to knowledge require
adequate evidence before they can be accepted,
there would be no room for pseudoscience.”
Yet, 42% of scientists do not engage in any
form of public outreach. We must continue to
confront scientific illiteracy, to press for
the scientific method in place of superstition.
This organization, the AAAS, has proven a powerful
voice in that enterprise. The beauty of science,
its import, and its logic have much to contribute
to our national heritage. All of us are teachers.
We must continue to show the way.
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That beauty manifests itself in
our philosophy. Since the earliest humans first
noticed the stars above us, we have longed to
understand the heavens. They are still mysterious,
but in the last century, we have substantially
advanced our understanding. This year we celebrate
the 100th anniversary of Einstein’s annus
mirabilis in which he published three seminal
works: on the Photoelectric Effect (for which
he won the Nobel prize and which led to Quantum
Mechanics), on the Electrodynamics of Moving
Bodies (Special Relativity), and on Browninan
Motion (which I think of whenever I pour cream
into my coffee).
This year has been designated
the World Year of Physics in recognition of
the centenary of Einstein's remarkable papers
of 1905 which laid the foundations of so much
of our modern science and technology. His papers
on Special Relativity revolutionized our understanding
of the relationship between matter and energy,
and led eventually to General Relativity, his
theory of gravity and space-time.
General relativity is a crowning
achievement of the human mind, providing us
with the deepest insight into the vast Cosmos
which we inhabit and linking its structure and
evolution with properties of the tiniest known
components of matter, the quarks and leptons
discovered in the latter half of the last century.
Unifying General Relativity with quantum mechanics
has become one of the great intellectual challenges
of our time.
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I can’t help but focus
on the recent excitement that has resulted from
the one time Einstein was “wrong,”
or rather “wasn’t wrong,”
or rather was “mistaken about being wrong.”
The “cosmological constant,” which
he added to his theory of General Relativity,
was regarded by him as “the biggest blunder
of my life.” With the opposite sign, it
was resurrected in 1998 to model an accelerating
expansion of the universe with implications
that push the matter and energy we know and
see to a scant 5% of the energy budget of the
universe.
In recognition of the World Year
of Physics, the AAAS has organized an outstanding
series of symposia and lectures tomorrow. They
will trace the development and impact of Einstein's
work up to the present day. One aspect I would
like to emphasize is the tremendous impact of
science and technology on our daily lives. Think
of how we communicate with one another today,
and compare it with Einstein's day. Think of
how and with whom we do business: more and more,
the world of commerce is becoming globally integrated.
We owe all of this to the fantastic
advances in science that have occurred in the
last hundred years, advances in basic science
inevitably leading to major applications and
technology. The World Year of Physics is giving
us an opportunity to tell this story, not only
about physics itself, but through its interaction
with other sciences as well. I believe that
we should continue to tell this story not only
this year, but next year, and the year after,
and the year after that.
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The three imperatives of economic growth, scientific
literacy, and intellectual excitement, if properly
understood by our society, will benefit us all.
But we must make clear how we contribute to
each, providing a rationale for increased support
for science. Failure to do so will doom our
fields to stagnation, isolation, and decay during
the difficult budget times ahead. Success will
attract the level of support that can fuel another
renaissance of science in this century. Let
us tell the world how much it depends on, and
is influenced by advances in science, and how
much it needs to continue this advance in order
to prosper economically and intellectually.
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